Superbad Index Apr 2026

We have the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to track inflation. We have the S&P 500 to track equities. We have the Baltic Dry Index to track shipping rates. But for the past 15 years, analysts have been overlooking the single most reliable barometer of the American social condition.

In 2007, the SBI was at a baseline . This represented a society where social failure was analog. When Fogell gets robbed at gunpoint by a career criminal named "Dirt," his response isn't to post about it on Reddit. It is to stand there, holding a fake ID that says "McLovin," and pee his pants.

We are currently witnessing a reverse of the Superbad dynamic. In the movie, Evan is terrified of saying "I love you" to his crush, but he eventually does it. Today, Gen Z has invented the "situationship"—a relationship so devoid of definition that it makes Evan's awkwardness look like Casanova-level confidence. superbad index

I call it the .

We laughed because we recognized ourselves. The anxiety, the sweaty palms, the inability to talk to Jules. That was the human condition. As smartphones became ubiquitous, the Superbad Index began to drop. Why? Because the need for Superbad-style chaos evaporated. We have the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to track inflation

If Superbad happened in 2019, Seth wouldn't need to steal a police cruiser or sing "These Eyes" at a liquor store. He would open Tinder. He would use Drizly. He would slide into DMs.

And right now, the Superbad Index is flashing a signal so extreme that we need to talk about it. To understand the index, we have to go back to the source code. Superbad (directed by Greg Mottola, produced by Judd Apatow) was released on August 17, 2007. The iPhone was released six weeks later. But for the past 15 years, analysts have

The awkwardness didn't disappear; it was simply hidden behind a screen. The SBI fell to a low of by 2019. On the surface, this looked like progress. People were "hooking up." The birth rate was dropping, but the confidence was rising.

During lockdown, the social skills required to buy a handle of vodka using a fake ID became obsolete. We replaced face-to-face rejection with algorithmic isolation. The result? The "Anxiety Economy."

Why? Because we have a generation of Fogells who don't even need to fake an ID. They just stay home. They order everything. They watch Pornhub

But we made a mistake. We thought the index was dead. We were wrong. It was just incubating. The pandemic broke the Superbad Index.